| Section |
Page |
| CHAPTER I: Executive
Summary |
1 |
| 1.0 Main Findings |
1 |
| 1.1 Worldwide Potential for DSL |
2 |
| 1.2 Regulation |
3 |
| 1.3 Investment Activity |
3 |
| 1.4 What is DSL? |
4 |
| 1.5 Benefits of ADSL |
5 |
| 1.6 Standardization |
5 |
| 1.7 Major Associations |
5 |
| 1.8 Interoperability |
6 |
| 1.9 Technical Issues |
7 |
| 1.10 Business Issues |
8 |
| 1.11 Alternative Broadband Access Technologies |
8 |
| 1.12 Services Market |
10 |
| 1.13 Equipment Market |
11 |
| 1.14 Forecast |
12 |
|
CHAPTER II: Historical Perspective |
13 |
| 2.0 General |
12 |
| 2.1 Invention and Early Development |
13 |
| 2.2 Technical and Market Trials |
15 |
| 2.3 Product and Service Introductions |
16 |
| 2.4 Deployment Rush |
17 |
| 2.5 Worldwide Potential for DSL |
17 |
| 2.6 Applications |
18 |
| 2.7 Regulatory Issues |
20 |
|
2.7.1 Interconnection |
20 |
|
2.7.2 Open Access to Cable Networks |
20 |
|
2.7.3 CLEC Collocations |
21 |
|
2.7.4 Interstate Nature of ADSL Services |
21 |
|
2.7.5 Cost Allocation Issues |
22 |
| 2.8 Investment Activity |
22 |
| 2. 9 What is Digital Subscriber Line? |
23 |
|
2.9.1 IDSL |
26 |
|
2.9.2 HDSL |
26 |
|
2.9.3 SDSL |
27 |
|
2.9.4 HDSL2 |
27 |
|
2.9.5 ADSL and RADSL |
27 |
|
2.9.6 The Splitter |
28 |
|
2.9.7 CDSL or UDSL |
29 |
|
2.9.8 VDSL |
29 |
| 2.10 xDSL |
30 |
|
2.10.1 2 Binary, 1 Quaternary (2B1Q) |
30 |
|
2.10.2 Quadrature Amplitude and Phase Modulation (QAM) |
30 |
|
2.10.3 Carrierless Amplitude and Phase Modulation (CAP) |
31 |
|
2.10.4 Discrete Multitone (DMT) |
31 |
|
2.10.5 CAP vs. DMT |
32 |
| 2.11 Benefits of ADSL |
32 |
|
CHAPTER III: Industry Cooperative Activities |
35 |
| 3.0 General |
35 |
| 3.1 Standardization
Efforts |
35 |
|
3.1.1 American National Standards Institute |
35 |
|
3.1.2 International Telecommunication Union |
36 |
|
3.1.3 European Telecommunications Standards Institute |
36 |
| 3.2 Joint Procurement Consortium |
37 |
| 3.3 Industry Associations |
40 |
|
3.3.1 ADSL Forum |
40 |
|
3.3.2 Universal ADSL working Group |
40 |
|
3.3.3 ATM Forum |
41 |
|
3.3.4 Home Phoneline Networking Alliance |
42 |
| 3.4 Interoperability |
43 |
|
3.4.1 Vendor Labs |
43 |
|
3.4.2 University of New Hampshire InterOperability Lab |
44 |
|
3.4.3 Telcordia |
45 |
|
CHAPTER IV: Technical Issues |
47 |
| 4.0 General |
47 |
| 4.1 Condition of Copper Plant |
47 |
| 4.2 Line Attenuation |
49 |
| 4.3 Bridge Taps |
50 |
| 4.4 Load Coils |
51 |
| 4.5 Mixed Wire Gauges |
51 |
| 4.6 Splices |
52 |
| 4.7 Noise |
53 |
|
4.7.1 Crosstalk |
53 |
|
4.7.2 Spectral Compatibility |
54 |
|
4.7.3 Impulse Noise |
54 |
|
4.7.4 Home Wiring |
54 |
| 4.8 Testing |
55 |
| 4.9 ATM vs. IP for ADSL Access Networks |
56 |
| 4.10 Latency |
58 |
| 4.11 Scalability |
59 |
|
CHAPTER V: Business Issues |
61 |
| 5.0 General |
61 |
| 5. 1 Partnering |
61 |
| 5. 2 Marketing |
62 |
| 5. 3 Pricing |
64 |
| 5. 4 Provisioning |
65 |
| 5. 5 Network Management |
67 |
|
CHAPTER VI: Residential Broadband Technologies |
71 |
| 6. 0 General |
71 |
| 6. 1 ISDN |
71 |
| 6. 2 Cable Modem |
74 |
| 6. 3 Direct Broadcast Satellite |
77 |
| 6. 4 Fixed
Wireless |
78 |
| 6. 5 Digital PowerLine |
81 |
| 6. 6 EtherLoop |
83 |
|
CHAPTER VII: Service Provider Profile |
85 |
| 7. 0 Overview of Trials and Launches |
85 |
| 7. 1 American Information Systems |
93 |
| 7. 2 Ameritech |
94 |
| 7. 3 Apex Global Internet Services, Inc. |
97 |
| 7. 4 ATU Telecommunications |
98 |
| 7.5 Avalon Networks |
101 |
| 7. 6 Bell Atlantic |
102 |
| 7. 7 BellSouth |
108 |
| 7. 8 BlueStar Communications |
112 |
| 7. 9 Century Telephone Enterprises |
114 |
| 7.10 Cincinnati Bell |
116 |
| 7.11 Concentric Network |
118 |
| 7.12 Covad Communications Group, Inc. |
122 |
| 7.13 Dakota Services Limited |
128 |
| 7.14 Eclipse Internet Access |
131 |
| 7.15 Epoch Internet |
133 |
| 7.16 Flashcom |
136 |
| 7.17 GTE
Corp. |
140 |
| 7.18 HarvardNet |
147 |
| 7.19 ICG Communications |
151 |
| 7.20 InteleCom Data Systems |
153 |
| 7.21 InterAccess |
154 |
| 7.22 Internet Express |
156 |
| 7.23 JATO Communications |
157 |
| 7.24 Lighthouse Communications |
159 |
| 7.25 Log On America |
161 |
| 7.26 MAXCESS, Inc. |
164 |
| 7.27 MCI WorldCom |
165 |
| 7.28 MegsINet, Inc. |
170 |
| 7.29 Network Access Solutions |
172 |
| 7.30 North Pittsburgh Telephone |
176 |
| 7.31 NorthPoint Communications |
178 |
| 7.32 OneNet Communications, Inc. |
182 |
| 7.33 Orconet |
184 |
| 7.34 Pacific Crest Networks |
186 |
| 7.35 Prism Communication Services, Inc. |
188 |
| 7.36 Rhythms NetConnections |
190 |
| 7.37 SBC Communications |
195 |
| 7.38 Shore.Net |
201 |
| 7.39 SourceNet
Corp. |
203 |
| 7.40 Sprint Corporation |
205 |
| 7.41 Supra Telecommunications and Information Systems, Inc. |
208 |
| 7.42 Telergy |
210 |
| 7.43 Thorn Communications |
212 |
| 7.44 Transport Logic |
213 |
| 7.45 US West |
215 |
| 7.46 USN Communications |
222 |
| 7.47 Verio |
224 |
| 7.48 Vitts Networks |
227 |
| 7.49 World Web Internet Services Provider |
229 |
| 7.50 Asia-Pacific |
230 |
|
7.50.1 Singapore Telecom |
231 |
|
7.50.2 China |
232 |
|
7.50.3 Hong Kong Telecom |
232 |
| 7.51 Canada |
234 |
|
7.51.1 Bell Canada |
234 |
|
7.51.2 NBTel |
235 |
|
7.51.3 SaskTel |
236 |
|
7.51.4 Elsewhere in Canada |
237 |
| 7.52 Europe |
238 |
|
7.52.1 Belgium |
238 |
|
7.52.2 Finland |
239 |
|
7.52.3 France |
240 |
|
7.52.4 Germany |
240 |
|
7.52.5 Sweden |
241 |
|
7.52.6 United Kingdom |
242 |
| 7.53 Phoenix Case Study |
244 |
| 7.54 Silicon Valley Case Study |
246 |
|
CHAPTER VIII: Vendor Profile |
249 |
| 8. 0 General |
249 |
| 8. 1 3Com |
249 |
| 8. 2 AccessLan Communications |
254 |
| 8. 3 ADC Telecommunications |
256 |
| 8. 4 ADTRAN, Inc. |
258 |
| 8. 5 Advanced Fibre Communications |
262 |
| 8. 6 Advanced Micro Devuces |
266 |
| 8. 7 AG Communication Systems |
268 |
| 8. 8 Alcatel |
272 |
| 8. 9 Amati Communications Corporation |
282 |
| 8.10 Analog Devices |
288 |
| 8.11 Ariel Corporation, Communications Systems Group |
291 |
| 8.12 Ascend Communications |
293 |
| 8.13 Aware, Inc. |
298 |
| 8.14 Broadcam Corporation |
305 |
| 8.15 Burr-Brown Corporation |
307 |
| 8.16 Cabletron Systems |
310 |
| 8.17 Cayman Systems |
312 |
| 8.18 Centillium Technology Corporation |
317 |
| 8.19 Charles Industries, Ltd. |
320 |
| 8.20 Cisco Systems |
322 |
| 8.21 Compaq
Computer |
328 |
| 8.22 Conexant Systems (formerly Rockwell Semiconductor Systems) |
330 |
| 8.23 Copper Mountain Networks |
334 |
| 8.24 CopperCom |
339 |
| 8.25 Dell Computer |
341 |
| 8.26 Diamond Lane Communications |
343 |
| 8.27 Diamond Multimedia Systems,
Inc. |
348 |
| 8.28 Digital Link Corporation |
349 |
| 8.29 DSC Communications Corporation |
351 |
| 8.30 ECI Telecom |
353 |
| 8.31 Efficient Networks |
356 |
| 8.32 Ericsson
(Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson) |
361 |
| 8.33 Escalate Networks, Inc. |
364 |
| 8.34 FlowPoint Corporation |
366 |
| 8.35 Fujitsu, Limited |
370 |
| 8.36 General DataComm Industries, Inc. |
375 |
| 8.37 GlobeSpan Semiconductor |
377 |
| 8.38 Hayes Corporation |
386 |
| 8.39 Integrated Telecom Express, Inc.
(ITeX) |
389 |
| 8.40 Interspeed,
Inc. |
392 |
| 8.41 IPM Datacom Srl |
394 |
| 8.42 Italtel S.p.A |
395 |
| 8.43 Jetstream Communications |
396 |
| 8.44 Level One Communications |
398 |
| 8.45 Lucent Technologies |
401 |
| 8.46 Marconi S.p.A |
407 |
| 8.47 Metalink, Ltd. |
408 |
| 8.48 Motorola |
410 |
| 8.49 NEC Corporation |
413 |
| 8.50 Netopia, Inc. |
418 |
| 8.51 NetSpeed, Inc. |
422 |
| 8.52 Newbridge Networks |
427 |
| 8.53 Next Level Communications |
430 |
| 8.54 Nokia |
433 |
| 8.55 Northern Telecom, Ltd. (Nortel Networks) |
436 |
| 8.56 Orckit Communications, Ltd. |
443 |
| 8.57 PairGain Technologies, Inc. |
450 |
| 8.58 Paradyne Corporation |
460 |
| 8.59 Philips GmbH |
469 |
| 8.60 Promatory Communications |
470 |
| 8.61 Pulse Communications
(Pulsecom) |
473 |
| 8.62 RedBack Networks |
478 |
| 8.63 RELTEC Corporation |
482 |
| 8.64 Samsung Corporation |
484 |
| 8.65 Samsung Electronics Company, Ltd. |
485 |
| 8.66 Siemens Semiconductor Group |
487 |
| 8.67 Siemens AG |
490 |
| 8.68 SourceCom, Inc. |
495 |
| 8.69 STMicroelectronics |
497 |
| 8.70 Sumitomo Corporation |
499 |
| 8.71 Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. |
500 |
| 8.72 Teltrend |
502 |
| 8.73 Texas Instruments |
503 |
| 8.74 Tut Systems |
508 |
| 8.75 Virata, Ltd. |
514 |
| 8.76 Westell Technologies |
517 |
| 8.77 Semiconductor Devices |
529 |
| 8.78 Modems |
534 |
| 8.79 Network Equipment |
536 |
| 8.80 Ancillary Products and Services |
540 |
|
CHAPTER IX: Market Forecast |
565 |
| 9.0 General |
565 |
| 9.1 ISDN |
568 |
| 9.2 Cable Modem |
569 |
| 9.3 DirecPC |
570 |
| 9.4 Fixed Wireless Access |
571 |
| 9.5 Digital Powerline |
573 |
| 9.6 Main Telephone Lines |
574 |
| 9.7 Personal Computers |
574 |
| 9.8 Internet Users |
575 |
| 9.9 Equipment Vendors |
575 |
| 9.10 Modem Sales |
577 |
| 9.11 Equipment Pricing Trends |
578 |
| 9.12 Equipment
Functionality Trends |
578 |
| 9.13 Other Assumptions |
580 |
|
9.13.1 The Economy |
581 |
|
9.13.2 The Information Technology Industry |
581 |
|
9.13.3 The Internet |
581 |
|
9.13.4 Telephone Service Providers |
582 |
|
9.13.5 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line |
582 |
| 9.14 Market Forecasts |
583 |
|
|
|
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES |
|
|
Figure |
Page |
|
9. 1 Equipment Average Cost per xDSL Line |
579 |
|
9. 2 Broadband Access Lines Installed Base Worldwide 1998-2003 |
584 |
| 9. 3 xDSL Equipment Revenues Worldwide
1998-2003 |
585 |
|
9. 4 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide 1998-2003 |
591 |
|
9. 5 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide Percent by Type 1999 |
592 |
|
9. 6 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide Percent by Type 2003 |
593 |
|
9. 7 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide by Type 1998-2003 |
595 |
|
|
| Table |
Page |
|
2. 1 Investors in Service Providers |
24 |
|
3. 1 DSL-Related Standards and Recommendations |
38 |
|
4. 1 American Wire Gauges - Common Wire Sizes |
52 |
|
6. 1 ISDN Growth Rates - Selected High-Income Countries |
73 |
|
7. 1 Major Service Deployments |
86 |
|
7. 2 US xDSL Service Deployments in Top Markets Through 1999 |
89 |
|
8. 1 RADSL Chip Set Development History |
379 |
|
8. 2 RADSL CAP Chip Sets - Shipment History |
380 |
|
8. 3 RADSL Chip Sets - Pricing History |
380 |
|
8. 4 Customer Growth |
381 |
|
8. 5 Paradyne Employees |
461 |
|
8. 6 DSL Product Revenues |
519 |
|
8. 7 Test Equipment |
542 |
|
8. 8 xDSL Equipment Vendors - Type of Equipment |
544 |
|
8. 9 xDSL Chip Vendors - Type of DSL Technology |
546 |
| 8.10 xDSL Equipment Vendor Mergers and Acquisitions |
548 |
|
8.11 Trial and Rollouts United States |
550 |
|
8.12 Trials and Rollouts Canada |
557 |
|
8.13 Trials and Rollouts Europe |
558 |
|
8.14 Trials and Rollouts Asia-Pacific |
561 |
|
8.15 Trials and Rollouts Other Regions |
563 |
|
9. 1 Broadband Access Lines |
583 |
|
9. 2 xDSL Growth Rate Factors |
587 |
|
9. 3 xDSL Lines - Installed Base Worldwide |
590 |
| 9. 4 xDSL Lines - Installed Base Worldwide Percent by Base |
590 |
|
9. 5 xDSL Lines Added Worldwide |
595 |
|
9. 6 xDSL Lines - Installed Base United States |
594 |
|
9. 7 xDSL Lines Added United States |
595 |
|
9. 8 xDSL Lines - Installed Base United States Percent by Type |
595 |
|
9. 9 Demand Side Estimate - US ILECs |
597 |
|
9.10 Demand Side Estimates - US CLECs and ISPs |
599 |
|
9.11 Demand Side Estimate International - Asia |
602 |
|
9.12 Demand Side Estimate International - Europe |
603 |
|
9.13 Demand Side Estimate International - Canada |
604 |
|
|
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