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Section Page
CHAPTER I: Executive Summary 1
   1.0 Main Findings 1
   1.1 Worldwide Potential for DSL 2
   1.2 Regulation 3
   1.3 Investment Activity 3
   1.4 What is DSL? 4
   1.5 Benefits of ADSL 5
   1.6 Standardization 5
   1.7 Major Associations 5
   1.8 Interoperability 6
   1.9 Technical Issues 7
   1.10 Business Issues 8
   1.11 Alternative Broadband Access Technologies 8
   1.12 Services Market 10
   1.13 Equipment Market 11
   1.14 Forecast   12
CHAPTER II: Historical Perspective 13
   2.0 General 12
   2.1 Invention and Early Development 13
   2.2 Technical and Market Trials 15
   2.3 Product and Service Introductions 16
   2.4 Deployment Rush 17
   2.5 Worldwide Potential for DSL 17
   2.6 Applications 18
   2.7 Regulatory Issues 20
      2.7.1 Interconnection 20
      2.7.2 Open Access to Cable Networks 20
      2.7.3 CLEC Collocations 21
      2.7.4 Interstate Nature of ADSL Services 21
      2.7.5 Cost Allocation Issues 22
   2.8 Investment Activity 22
   2. 9 What is Digital Subscriber Line? 23
      2.9.1 IDSL 26
      2.9.2 HDSL 26
      2.9.3 SDSL 27
      2.9.4 HDSL2 27
      2.9.5 ADSL and RADSL 27
      2.9.6 The Splitter 28
      2.9.7 CDSL or UDSL 29
      2.9.8 VDSL 29
   2.10 xDSL 30
      2.10.1 2 Binary, 1 Quaternary (2B1Q) 30
      2.10.2 Quadrature Amplitude and Phase Modulation (QAM) 30
      2.10.3 Carrierless Amplitude and Phase Modulation (CAP) 31
      2.10.4 Discrete Multitone (DMT) 31
      2.10.5 CAP vs. DMT 32
   2.11 Benefits of ADSL   32
CHAPTER III: Industry Cooperative Activities 35
   3.0 General 35
   3.1 Standardization Efforts 35
      3.1.1 American National Standards Institute 35
      3.1.2 International Telecommunication Union 36
      3.1.3 European Telecommunications Standards Institute 36
   3.2 Joint Procurement Consortium 37
   3.3 Industry Associations 40
      3.3.1 ADSL Forum 40
      3.3.2 Universal ADSL working Group 40
      3.3.3 ATM Forum 41
      3.3.4 Home Phoneline Networking Alliance 42
   3.4 Interoperability 43
      3.4.1 Vendor Labs 43
      3.4.2 University of New Hampshire InterOperability Lab 44
      3.4.3 Telcordia   45
CHAPTER IV: Technical Issues 47
   4.0 General 47
   4.1 Condition of Copper Plant 47
   4.2 Line Attenuation 49
   4.3 Bridge Taps 50
   4.4 Load Coils 51
   4.5 Mixed Wire Gauges 51
   4.6 Splices 52
   4.7 Noise 53
      4.7.1 Crosstalk 53
      4.7.2 Spectral Compatibility 54
      4.7.3 Impulse Noise 54
      4.7.4 Home Wiring 54
   4.8 Testing 55
   4.9 ATM vs. IP for ADSL Access Networks 56
   4.10 Latency 58
   4.11 Scalability   59
CHAPTER V: Business Issues 61
   5.0 General 61
   5. 1 Partnering 61
   5. 2 Marketing 62
   5. 3 Pricing 64
   5. 4 Provisioning 65
   5. 5 Network Management   67
CHAPTER VI: Residential Broadband Technologies 71
   6. 0 General 71
   6. 1 ISDN 71
   6. 2 Cable Modem 74
   6. 3 Direct Broadcast Satellite 77
   6. 4 Fixed Wireless 78
   6. 5 Digital PowerLine 81
   6. 6 EtherLoop 83
CHAPTER VII: Service Provider Profile 85
   7. 0 Overview of Trials and Launches 85
   7. 1 American Information Systems 93
   7. 2 Ameritech 94
   7. 3 Apex Global Internet Services, Inc. 97
   7. 4 ATU Telecommunications 98
   7.5 Avalon Networks 101
   7. 6 Bell Atlantic 102
   7. 7 BellSouth 108
   7. 8 BlueStar Communications 112
   7. 9 Century Telephone Enterprises 114
   7.10 Cincinnati Bell 116
   7.11 Concentric Network 118
   7.12 Covad Communications Group, Inc. 122
   7.13 Dakota Services Limited 128
   7.14 Eclipse Internet Access 131
   7.15 Epoch Internet 133
   7.16 Flashcom 136
   7.17 GTE Corp. 140
   7.18 HarvardNet 147
   7.19 ICG Communications 151
   7.20 InteleCom Data Systems 153
   7.21 InterAccess 154
   7.22 Internet Express 156
   7.23 JATO Communications 157
   7.24 Lighthouse Communications 159
   7.25 Log On America 161
   7.26 MAXCESS, Inc. 164
   7.27 MCI WorldCom 165
   7.28 MegsINet, Inc. 170
   7.29 Network Access Solutions 172
   7.30 North Pittsburgh Telephone 176
   7.31 NorthPoint Communications 178
   7.32 OneNet Communications, Inc. 182
   7.33 Orconet 184
   7.34 Pacific Crest Networks 186
   7.35 Prism Communication Services, Inc. 188
   7.36 Rhythms NetConnections 190
   7.37 SBC Communications 195
   7.38 Shore.Net 201
   7.39 SourceNet Corp. 203
   7.40 Sprint Corporation 205
   7.41 Supra Telecommunications and Information Systems, Inc. 208
   7.42 Telergy 210
   7.43 Thorn Communications 212
   7.44 Transport Logic 213
   7.45 US West 215
   7.46 USN Communications 222
   7.47 Verio 224
   7.48 Vitts Networks 227
   7.49 World Web Internet Services Provider 229
   7.50 Asia-Pacific 230
      7.50.1 Singapore Telecom 231
      7.50.2 China 232
      7.50.3 Hong Kong Telecom 232
   7.51 Canada 234
      7.51.1 Bell Canada 234
      7.51.2 NBTel 235
      7.51.3 SaskTel 236
      7.51.4 Elsewhere in Canada 237
   7.52 Europe 238
      7.52.1 Belgium 238
      7.52.2 Finland 239
      7.52.3 France 240
      7.52.4 Germany 240
       7.52.5 Sweden 241
       7.52.6 United Kingdom 242
   7.53 Phoenix Case Study 244
   7.54 Silicon Valley Case Study 246
CHAPTER VIII: Vendor Profile 249
   8. 0 General 249
   8. 1 3Com 249
   8. 2 AccessLan Communications 254
   8. 3 ADC Telecommunications 256
   8. 4 ADTRAN, Inc. 258
   8. 5 Advanced Fibre Communications 262
   8. 6 Advanced Micro Devuces 266
   8. 7 AG Communication Systems 268
   8. 8 Alcatel 272
   8. 9 Amati Communications Corporation 282
   8.10 Analog Devices 288
   8.11 Ariel Corporation, Communications Systems Group 291
   8.12 Ascend Communications 293
   8.13 Aware, Inc. 298
   8.14 Broadcam Corporation 305
   8.15 Burr-Brown Corporation 307
   8.16 Cabletron Systems 310
   8.17 Cayman Systems 312
   8.18 Centillium Technology Corporation 317
   8.19 Charles Industries, Ltd. 320
   8.20 Cisco Systems 322
   8.21 Compaq Computer 328
   8.22 Conexant Systems (formerly Rockwell Semiconductor Systems) 330
   8.23 Copper Mountain Networks 334
   8.24 CopperCom 339
   8.25 Dell Computer 341
   8.26 Diamond Lane Communications 343
   8.27 Diamond Multimedia Systems, Inc. 348
   8.28 Digital Link Corporation 349
   8.29 DSC Communications Corporation 351
   8.30 ECI Telecom 353
   8.31 Efficient Networks 356
   8.32 Ericsson (Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson) 361
   8.33 Escalate Networks, Inc. 364
   8.34 FlowPoint Corporation 366
   8.35 Fujitsu, Limited 370
   8.36 General DataComm Industries, Inc. 375
   8.37 GlobeSpan Semiconductor 377
   8.38 Hayes Corporation 386
   8.39 Integrated Telecom Express, Inc. (ITeX) 389
   8.40 Interspeed, Inc. 392
   8.41 IPM Datacom Srl 394
   8.42 Italtel S.p.A 395
   8.43 Jetstream Communications 396
   8.44 Level One Communications 398
   8.45 Lucent Technologies 401
   8.46 Marconi S.p.A 407
   8.47 Metalink, Ltd. 408
   8.48 Motorola 410
   8.49 NEC Corporation 413
   8.50 Netopia, Inc. 418
   8.51 NetSpeed, Inc. 422
   8.52 Newbridge Networks 427
   8.53 Next Level Communications 430
   8.54 Nokia 433
   8.55 Northern Telecom, Ltd. (Nortel Networks) 436
   8.56 Orckit Communications, Ltd. 443
   8.57 PairGain Technologies, Inc. 450
   8.58 Paradyne Corporation 460
   8.59 Philips GmbH 469
   8.60 Promatory Communications 470
   8.61 Pulse Communications (Pulsecom) 473
   8.62 RedBack Networks 478
   8.63 RELTEC Corporation 482
   8.64 Samsung Corporation 484
   8.65 Samsung Electronics Company, Ltd. 485
   8.66 Siemens Semiconductor Group 487
   8.67 Siemens AG 490
   8.68 SourceCom, Inc. 495
   8.69 STMicroelectronics 497
   8.70 Sumitomo Corporation 499
   8.71 Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. 500
   8.72 Teltrend 502
   8.73 Texas Instruments 503
   8.74 Tut Systems 508
   8.75 Virata, Ltd. 514
   8.76 Westell Technologies 517
   8.77 Semiconductor Devices 529
   8.78 Modems 534
   8.79 Network Equipment 536
   8.80 Ancillary Products and Services   540
CHAPTER IX: Market Forecast 565
   9.0 General 565
   9.1 ISDN 568
   9.2 Cable Modem 569
   9.3 DirecPC 570
   9.4 Fixed Wireless Access 571
   9.5 Digital Powerline 573
   9.6 Main Telephone Lines 574
   9.7 Personal Computers 574
   9.8 Internet Users 575
   9.9 Equipment Vendors 575
   9.10 Modem Sales 577
   9.11 Equipment Pricing Trends 578
   9.12 Equipment Functionality Trends 578
   9.13 Other Assumptions 580
       9.13.1 The Economy 581
       9.13.2 The Information Technology Industry 581
       9.13.3 The Internet 581
       9.13.4 Telephone Service Providers 582
       9.13.5 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line 582
   9.14 Market Forecasts 583

LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES

Figure Page
9. 1 Equipment Average Cost per xDSL Line 579
9. 2 Broadband Access Lines Installed Base Worldwide 1998-2003 584
9. 3 xDSL Equipment Revenues Worldwide 1998-2003 585
9. 4 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide 1998-2003 591
9. 5 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide Percent by Type 1999 592
9. 6 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide Percent by Type 2003 593
9. 7 xDSL Lines Installed Base Worldwide by Type 1998-2003 595
Table Page
2. 1 Investors in Service Providers 24
3. 1 DSL-Related Standards and Recommendations 38
4. 1 American Wire Gauges - Common Wire Sizes 52
6. 1 ISDN Growth Rates - Selected High-Income Countries 73
7. 1 Major Service Deployments 86
7. 2 US xDSL Service Deployments in Top Markets Through 1999 89
8. 1 RADSL Chip Set Development History 379
8. 2 RADSL CAP Chip Sets - Shipment History 380
8. 3 RADSL Chip Sets - Pricing History 380
8. 4 Customer Growth 381
8. 5 Paradyne Employees 461
8. 6 DSL Product Revenues 519
8. 7 Test Equipment 542
8. 8 xDSL Equipment Vendors - Type of Equipment 544
8. 9 xDSL Chip Vendors - Type of DSL Technology 546
8.10 xDSL Equipment Vendor Mergers and Acquisitions 548
8.11 Trial and Rollouts United States 550
8.12 Trials and Rollouts Canada 557
8.13 Trials and Rollouts Europe 558
8.14 Trials and Rollouts Asia-Pacific 561
8.15 Trials and Rollouts Other Regions 563
9. 1 Broadband Access Lines 583
9. 2 xDSL Growth Rate Factors 587
9. 3 xDSL Lines - Installed Base Worldwide 590
9. 4 xDSL Lines - Installed Base Worldwide Percent by Base 590
9. 5 xDSL Lines Added Worldwide 595
9. 6 xDSL Lines - Installed Base United States 594
9. 7 xDSL Lines Added United States 595
9. 8 xDSL Lines - Installed Base United States Percent by Type 595
9. 9 Demand Side Estimate - US ILECs 597
9.10 Demand Side Estimates - US CLECs and ISPs 599
9.11 Demand Side Estimate International - Asia 602
9.12 Demand Side Estimate International - Europe 603
9.13 Demand Side Estimate International - Canada 604
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