A Special Report From The PELORUS Group

ALTERNATIVE PAYMENTS:
CHANGING THE RULES

  

Assessing Market Dynamics, Opportunities and Challenges To 2011

An Exclusive Report Dedicated To Probing Issues, Trends, And Competitive Forces Shaping Contactless Cards, 
Mobile Payments And Biometric Payments And Their Impact On Traditional Payments
  
  • Analyzing Why Technology And User Needs Are Now Aligned For Explosive Growth In Alternative Payments
  •  Defining The Market Drivers And Trends In Contactless Cards, Mobile Payments And Biometrics
  • Det ailed Opportunity Analysis And Outlook For User Needs And Markets Served
  • Detailed Strategy Discussions On A Per Company Basis For Existing And Emerging Players In: Contactless Cards, Mobile Payments and Biometrics Payments
  •  Impact Of Alternative Payments On The Traditional Payments Industry, Retailers, The Financial Industry, And Companies That Currently Serve The Unbanked And Credit Challenged
  • Consumer Intangibles
  •  Hurdles In Authentication
  • The Rise Of RFID And NFC
  • Government Support And Regulation

 How Wary Do Credit Card Companies Need To Be Of Alternative Payments, And What Are Their Opportunities?

What Are The Opportunities And Pitfalls Associated With The Increasing Utilization Of E-Payments Instead Of Cash For Parking, Vending, And Other Micropayments?

  • What Are The Partnership Opportunities Between Players Utilizing Different Technologies To Leverage Their Strengths And Drive Consumer Adoption 
  • Growth In Online Payments And Its Impact On The Payments Value Chain?
  • Payment/Card Holder Steering And What It Means For Alternative Payments
  • The Convenience Factor:  Active vs. Passive Payments
  • Analyzing The Features And Benefits Of Each Alternative Payments Technology
  • Dealing With Security Issues By Alternative Payments Mode
  • Merchant Benefits:
    • Contactless Cards
    •  Mobile Payments
    • Biometric Authenticated Payments
  • Applications And Trials:
    • Contactless Cards
    • Mobile Payments
    •  Biometric Authenticated Payments
  • The Future Of Alternative Payments
  • Market Forecasts To 2011!
  

The First Report To Bring Together The Different Components Of The Alternative Payments Phenomenon Into A Single Overarching Study

  

The PELORUS Group

Navigating Change In

The Payments Industry

ALTERNATIVE PAYMENTS: CHANGING THE RULES

 

Alternative payment offerings are gaining in both creditability and popularity.  From mobile payments to contactless cards to biometrics, consumers are taking notice of emerging alternatives to traditional payment modes.  Each passing day sees more media announcing new deployments, new trails.  The end result is a consumer reservoir that is more conversant with these solutions - and their inherent issues - than most realize.  And one that is more wiling to embrace them.

 

Although issues such as security remain, alternative payments no longer are relegated to "Sometime-In-The Future" status.  The implications to traditional payment modes assume a more imperative nature.  Alternative payments promise over time to re-write the payments ground rules.  By 2011, PELORUS research suggests aggregate alternative payments revenue will exceed $400 billion.

 

For the first time, a single report pulls together the potential - opportunistic as well as disruptive - associated with each distinct major category of alternative payment.  The PELORUS Group offers a compelling perspective as to which segments will ultimately prove most profitable.  Nobody studies the emerging payments industry as consistently, thoroughly and as passionately as The PELORUS Group.  "Alternative Payments: Changing the Rules" is The PELORUS Group's vision of an industry in transition.  It is dedicated to harnessing the incredible opportunity - in unprecedented detail - emerging from each major alternative payment category.

  

The PELORUS Group’s

"Alternative Payments: Changing The Rules"

isolates and analyzes:

·         What is the potential for alternative payments to erode traditional payment and credit card systems?

·         Which applications of alternative payments have already emerged, and which have yet to, but eventually will enjoy rapid growth?

·         Why might financial institutions eventually find themselves at a competitive disadvantage to alternative payment services providers despite their current market dominance?

·         How can new technologies such as RFID and NFC greatly enhance the users’ experience?

·         Why can direct debit payments using a biometrics solution, contactless card, or wireless device significantly increase security and reduce fraud?

·         From mobile payments, to biometrics, to contactless cards, what are the benefits realized by different alternative payments systems?

·         When, why and how quickly will each alternative payment category catch on in the U.S.?

·         What payments will grow the most as they reach an aggregate total of some $400 billion in the U.S. by 2011?

·         Which factors will help and which factors will hinder the payments evolution?

·         What progress has been made by the major players to establish standards and a common ground between telecom and the financial communities?

·         Will disintermediation, the buzzword of the Internet, also affect the payments process and the revenue potential of issuers and processors?

·         What are the services and product offers of the key players?

·         What is the impact of alternative payments on carriers, retailers, the financial industry, and companies that currently employ traditional payment systems?

·         What are the technologies that empower devices to displace traditional payment modes?

·         What are the fastest growing applications by alternative payment service?

·         What are the key regulatory, standards, fraud prevention, and security issues?

·         What is the five year market potential associated with contactless cards, mobile payments, and biometric payments?

  

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  Challenges of Alternative Payments Innovations

  Electronic Payments

  Focus of Report

  Technologies

  Competition, Cooperation, Partnerships

  Conclusion

 

OVERVIEW OF ALTERNATIVE PAYMENTS

  Overview of Alternative Payments

    Scope of this Report

  The Way People Pay

    Three Ways of Paying

    Paying on Account and Extending Credit

  The Payments Value Chain

    Potential to Shorten the Value Chain

  The Four Party Payment System

    Authorization

    Clearing and Settlement

  Interchange Fees

  Types of Alternative Payments

    Contactless Payments (Debit And Credit)

    Mobile Payments

    Biometric Payments

    Specialized Payment Markets

      Micropayments

       Social Money

      Key Market Segments

      Mainstream Market

      Unbanked, Immigrants, and Credit Challenged

      Unbanked – International

      Youth Market

      Merchants

  Conclusion

 

ALTERNATIVE PAYMENTS TECHNOLOGY

  Introduction

  Magnetic Stripe

  Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)

    RFID Acceptance

  Smart Cards

  Short Message Service (SMS)

    Direct Debit Using SMS

  Near Field Communications (NFC)

    NFC Trials

    Philips Arena Trial in Atlanta, Georgia

    NFC Trial in Dallas, Texas

    NFC Potential

    NFC Developments in Japan

    NFC in Europe

  Biometrics

    Fingerprint Template and Payment Procedure

  Industry Coordination and Standards

    RFID

    m-Payments and Contactless Payments

    NFC Forum

  Payments: Mag-Stripe, Contactless, Smart Card, Wireless, Biometrics

  Conclusion

 

MARKET DRIVERS AND TRENDS

  Introduction

  Speed and Convenience

  Country Specific/Cultural Factors

  Differing Payments Infrastructures By Country

  Ease of Use, Fumble Factor

  Micropayments

  Microcomputer in the Hand

  Cool Factor

  Retaining Customer Loyalty -- Rebates and Coupons

  Payment/Cardholder Steering

  Unbanked Population (Immigrants, Credit Challenged)

  High Credit Card Fees - Background on PIN-Based Debit Cards

  Disintermediaton

  Security Concerns

  Active versus Relatively Passive Payment Action

  Government Support and Regulation

  Need for Online Payments, New Payment Alternatives

    PayPal

    Google Checkout

  Un-Drivers

  Point of Sale Equipment

  Other Payment Providers

    MoneyGram International

    Peppercoin

 

CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS

  Introduction

  Background and History -- United States

    Japan and Korea, Europe

  Strategic Factors Affecting Contactless Usage and Deployment

  Interchange Costs

  Additional Benefits of Contactless Cards

  Security of Contactless Cards

  Cross-Elasticity with PIN-Based Debit Cards

  Background on PIN-Based Debit Cards

  Applications

    Big City Mass Transit

    Case Studies -- 7-Eleven and Sheetz

    Employee Cafeterias

    Vending Machines

    Market Promotions

  Incentive for Customer and Merchant Use

  Contactless Market Opportunity

  Lessons from Target’s Bad Experience with Smart Cards

  Terminal Upgrades to Contactless

  Key Players

    Credit Card Companies and Payment Services  

      American Express

      Citibank

      Discover Financial Services

      MasterCard Worldwide (PayPass)

      Visa

      First Data

    Reader Systems and Equipment Companies

      On Track Innovations Ltd. (OTI)

      Symbol Technologies

      ViVOtech

    General Technology Providers

      Giesecke & Devrient GmbH

      INSIDE Contactless

    Other Contactless Payment Players

      Chockstone (Customer Loyalty Solutions)

      FreedomPay (Corporate Cafeteria Market)

      Precision Dynamics (Alternative Contactless Payment Provider)

      RFID Chips -Texas Instruments

      Oberthur Card Systems (Contactless Cards)

 

WIRELESS PAYMENT SOLUTIONS

  Introduction

  Wireless Payment Types

  Wireless Payment Platform

  Current and Future Payments Evolution

  The Players, Current and Future

  Competitive Advantage and Payment System Margins

  Requirements for Market Growth

  The Smaller Companies - Establishing Customer Trust

  The Wild Card - NFC Technology, Wireless Carriers, and Banks

  World Development

    Asia

    Europe

    United States

    South America

  Conclusion

  Key Players

    Service Providers/Enablers

      C-SAM

      Cyphermint

      Dexit

      MobileLime

      Mobipay

      MoreMagic Solutions

      Obopay

      PayPal Mobile

      Sapphire Mobile Systems

      SMART (Smart Communications)

      Valista

      WIZZIT

    Niche Players

      TextPayMe

      Verrus Mobile Technologies

    Wireless Carriers

      Cingular

      T-Mobile

      Verizon Wireless

    Cell Phone Companies

      Nokia

      Motorola

      Samsung

      Sony Ericcson

 

BIOMETRIC AUTHENTICATED PAYMENTS

  Introduction

  Biometric Authentication

  How Payments Work

  Merchant Benefit

  Security Discussion

  Need for Registration

  Applications and Trials

  Market Evolution

  Potential Users

  Key Players

    Biometric Service Providers

      Pay By Touch

      Privaris

      Digital Defense Group

      IdentiSys

    Authentication Companies

      Gemalto (Axalto, Gemplus)

     US Biometrics

    Technology Providers

      NCR

      Facekey

      Fingerprint Cards

    Card Companies

      Discover Financial

 

MARKET PROJECTIONS

  Introduction

  Contactless Payments

    Current Market

    Key Assumptions

    Five-Year Market Forecasts

  m-Payments

    Current Market

    Key Assumptions

    Five-Year Market Forecasts

  Biometrically Authenticated Payments

    Current Market

    Key Assumptions

    Five-Year Market Forecasts

 

About The Authors

With over 30 years of experience in finance, information technologies, and telecommunications, Vance Hodnett is responsible for the company’s consulting practice and research offerings in the Stored Value, Alternative Payments, and Financial Services areas.  His skill set includes business planning, financial analysis, network design and project management.

 

Prior to joining The PELORUS Group, Mr. Hodnett provided financial consulting and cost analysis to clients of Ernst and Young.  In this capacity, Mr. Hodnett utilized financial models to forecast expected payouts and returns for various offers.  Before then, Mr. Hodnett was with AT&T where he held positions in finance, regulatory and government affairs, investor relations and network management, performance and engineering.

 

Mr. Hodnett received his MBA, with a concentration in Finance, from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and his Bachelor of Science degree in Industrial Engineering from Stanford University.

 

Editor Al Fross has researched and written about the prepaid arenas for three decades.  He has edited and published many groundbreaking studies, including The PELORUS Group’s “The Stored Value Consumer Survey”, “Wireless Payments: The New Payments Paradigm”, and “Future Of Prepaid Telephony” reports.  He holds an MBA in Finance from Rutgers University.

 

  

The PELORUS Group

Helping Navigate Changes in The Payments Industry

The PELORUS Group is a market research, consulting, and business planning firm.  Its charter is to provide market research, business management, strategic planning, and competitive intelligence services to its worldwide base of clientele.

 

Its challenge is to veer away from consensus research, and expose the myths within key financial services, telecommunications, and information services industries.

  

Additional reports available from The PELORUS Group:
"The Stored Value Consumer Survey" “Enterprise Unified Communications”

"The Mobile Payments Survey”

“Global Speech Recognition”

“Stored Value: Transforming The Payments Industry”

“Wireless Location-Based Markets”

“Stored Value: 21st Century Currency”

“Contact Centers:  Re-Igniting The Market”

“Wireless Payments: The New Payments Paradigm”

“Speech Recognition Technologies”

“The DIS Survey”

“European DA/DQ Market”

“Opportunity in North American Prepaid Wireless and Beyond”

“Prepaid Telephony”

“North American Prepaid Wireline”

“Operator Services”

“Corporate Directory Assistance Markets”

“Prepaid Wireless”

“Enhanced Directory Assistance”

“The Future of SMS"

“North American Directory Assistance Markets”

“Unified Messaging CPE”

“The Future Of Operator Services”

“Unified Communications For The Service Provider”

“The Future Of Prepaid Telephony”
  

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